Accurate polling requires the pollsters to sample a a group that is similar to the group voting. Usually they use the group that voted in the last election for president 2012. This election will be drastically different. This election will have a smaller sample of all registered republicans who will vote for Trump, and it will have a larger sample of the democrats who won’t vote for Hillary and will vote for third party.
Turn out will be quite different because the minorities are not as enthused about their candidate so won’t turn out in their usually numbers. Voters who feel that the country is going in the wrong direction but rarely vote will turn out in larger numbers than ever before so the polling will be less than accurate and it’s based on traditional candidates.
Hillary is not a traditional democratic candidate. She is despicable and distrusted more than any other democratic candidate in the past plus she has medical limitations that are real or imagined but they are part of the campaign.
Trump is not traditional republican candidate because he is antiestablishment and does not come from a political background. He clearly represents change and a departure from the standard.
To anticipate this election we have to use our common sense. Hillary wants to raise taxes and limit growth, Trump wants to lower taxes and stimulate the free market.
Trump routinely draws large crowds of supporters who jump up and down carry signs and can’t wait to go to the polls and vote him in office.
Hillary can’t fill a small room and she has less than a third of the number of events that Trump has.
I see 20 Trump Bumper Stickers to every one of Hillary’s. I see 10 lawn signs for Trump to every Hillary sign.
The polls are measuring a moving target with a very wide lens. Accuracy is questionable.
Believe what you see and hear.
Trump is going to win BIG!!!!